Netflix closed at $67.50, up 0.66%.
Options flow in Netflix was dominated by two sizable bearish structures. A $20.44 million long put block and a $12.08 million double-long put combination stood out as the session’s largest trades, with institutional capital clearly tilted toward downside protection and volatility exposure rather than upside participation.
>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!
Options Indicators
Netflix’s implied volatility stands at 43.69%, and with an IV percentile of 68.92%, current volatility sits near the upper end of its recent range but still broadly in the neutral zone rather than clearly elevated. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 1.38, the options market is pricing in moderately richer forward volatility than the stock’s realized movement, suggesting premiums are somewhat full but not yet at an extreme expensive level. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.29.
Large Trades
A put purchase worth $20.44 million was the single largest trade of the session, consisting of 50,726 contracts of the January 15, 2027 $65.00 put. With Netflix referenced at $67.50, this strike sat out of the money at the time of the trade, making it a relatively efficient bearish expression that profits if the stock weakens meaningfully over time. The sheer size and long-dated tenor suggest a deliberate downside bet or portfolio hedge, with the buyer paying significant premium to secure protection or downside participation into early 2027.
A directional put-buying combination with a net debit of $12.08 million was the second major trade, made up of a long January 15, 2027 $100.00 put and a long October 16, 2026 $80.00 put. This is a same-direction double-long put structure rather than a synthetic position, and it reflects an aggressive spread-style bearish volatility bet using two outright put purchases across expirations. Both legs were in the money versus the $67.50 reference price, indicating the trader was willing to pay substantial premium for deep downside exposure and strong convexity, likely anticipating a pronounced decline or elevated turbulence rather than merely modest weakness. Overall, the large-trade flow in Netflix was clearly bearish, with the dominant capital concentrated in long puts and a sizable net-debit downside structure, while the smaller bullish activity was not large enough to offset the tone of institutional positioning. The pattern points to cautious-to-negative market sentiment, suggesting traders were prioritizing downside exposure and protection over upside participation.
Strategy Reference
For a lower assignment probability, a bear call spread such as selling the $75.00 call and buying the $80.00 call could generate credit while capping risk, but given the bearish institutional flow, traders may prefer buying a put spread like the $65.00/$55.00 put spread to limit premium outlay and margin.